{"id":330,"date":"2024-06-14T01:04:14","date_gmt":"2024-06-14T01:04:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/?p=330"},"modified":"2024-07-23T07:41:16","modified_gmt":"2024-07-23T07:41:16","slug":"public-assistance-and-the-sheinbaum-triumph","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/index.php\/2024\/06\/14\/public-assistance-and-the-sheinbaum-triumph\/","title":{"rendered":"Public Assistance and the Sheinbaum Triumph"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>On June 2nd, Mexico had a presidential election with three candidates: Claudia Sheinbaum, Xochitl Galvez and Jorge Alvarez Maynez. <br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-25-1024x576.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-334\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-25-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-25-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-25-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-25.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Sheinbaum, Galvez, Alvarez Maynez. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.indiatvnews.com\/news\/world\/mexico-to-elect-first-woman-leader-in-historic-election-here-s-everything-you-need-to-know-poll-violence-drug-cartels-updates-2024-06-02-934725\">Reuters<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Claudia Sheinbaum won.  The results:<br>CLAUDIA SHEINBAUM received 35,924,519 votes, which was 59.7594 % of the total.<br>XOCHITL GALVEZ received 16,502,697 votes, which was 27.4517 % of the total.<br>JORGE ALVAREZ MAYNEZ received 6,204,710 votes, which was 10.3213% of the total.<br><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"737\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-26-737x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-335\" style=\"width:263px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-26-737x1024.png 737w, https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-26-216x300.png 216w, https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-26-768x1067.png 768w, https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/image-26.png 800w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 737px) 100vw, 737px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">AMLO.  Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Andr%C3%A9s_Manuel_L%C3%B3pez_Obrador#\/media\/File:Andr%C3%A9s_Manuel_L%C3%B3pez_Obrador_junio_2024.jpg\">EneasMX<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Claudia Sheinbaum&#8217;s political party is MORENA, <br>the same party as current president <br>Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On June 7th, <em>Milenio<\/em> published an interesting article by Saul Hernandez.  The article was entitled <strong>Sheinbaum eleva su votaci\u00f3n en estados con m\u00e1s programas sociales<\/strong>, which translates to &#8220;Sheinbaum elevates her vote in states with more social programs&#8221;.  Here is the link to the article:   <br><a href=\"https:\/\/www.milenio.com\/politica\/elecciones\/sheinbaum-eleva-su-votacion-en-estados-con-mas-programas-sociales\">Sheinbaum eleva su votaci\u00f3n en estados con m\u00e1s programas sociales &#8211; Grupo Milenio<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s what Hernandez reports (my translation):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>&#8220;A cross-reference of data carried out by <em>Milenio<\/em> reveals that the former chief of government of Mexico City [Claudia Sheinbaum] won the presidential election with 63.5% of the votes in the 16 states with the greatest coverage of social programs.  In contrast, she received 56.2% of the votes in the 16 entities with fewer programs.<\/strong>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To be clear, with the exception of Aguascalientes, Sheinbaum won in every state and in Mexico City.  But she had a wider margin of victory in states with more government welfare. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<p>&#8220;<strong>In Oaxaca and Chiapas, where more than half the population has a subsidy from the federal government, [Claudia Sheinbaum] won with more than 70% of the vote (compared to 59.8% nationally).<\/strong>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;<strong>She also won wide margins in San Luis Potosi, Hidalgo, Veracruz, Nayarit, Yucatan, Campeche, Puebla and Guerrero, where the signature programs of Obradorism surpass the national coverage of 29% and arrived to least 1 of every 3 persons.<\/strong>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;<strong>In contrast, her victory was more modest in places where scholarship and pensions are not so broad.  This is the case of Nuevo Leon, Queretaro, Guanajuato and Jalisco, where fewer than a fifth of the population receives federal assistance.&#8221; <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;<strong>In Aguascalientes, the only entity in which the opposition candidate Xochitl Galvez beat Sheinbaum, social programs only benefit 15% of the inhabitants.&#8221; <\/strong> <\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Then Hernandez looks back six years to the previous election:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>&#8220;&#8230;[I]n the same 16 states where Claudia Sheinbaum won with a wide margin, Lopez Obrador also obtained a wider victory six years ago (56.6%) than he obtained in the other half of the country (49.7%).  This was before there were so many social programs.<\/strong>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;<strong>Sheinbaum swept the election where Andres Manuel also did before. The difference is that with [Sheinbaum] the margin of victory was even wider, now with the asstance programs of  Obradorism at their height.<\/strong>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This also fits in with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.elfinanciero.com.mx\/encuestas-ef\/2024\/06\/04\/respaldo-a-4t-y-a-amlo-apuntala-triunfo-de-sheinbaum\/?outputType=amp\">a national exit poll conducted by <em>El Financiero<\/em><\/a> (my translation):<br>&#8220;<strong>Another weighty factor in the [vote for MORENA] was that of social programs: 56% of the voters reported themselves, their family or both, having received social benefits from the government.  Among that segment of beneficiaries, Sheinbaum received 69% of the vote, in contrast to 23% for Xochitl Galvez.  Nevertheless, Sheinbaum also had the advantage among non-beneficiaries, obtaining 49% of the votes of that sector, in contrast to 37% who chose to vote for the opposition candidate [Galvez].<\/strong>\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It definitely appears that AMLO&#8217;s social assistance programs had an effect on the election, driving up the vote for the MORENA candidate Claudia Sheinbaum. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But then, since the ancient Romans, politicians have used public assistance to gain public support. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On June 2nd, Mexico had a presidential election with three candidates: Claudia Sheinbaum, Xochitl Galvez and Jorge Alvarez Maynez. Claudia Sheinbaum won. The results:CLAUDIA SHEINBAUM received 35,924,519 votes, which was 59.7594 % of the total.XOCHITL GALVEZ received 16,502,697 votes, which &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/index.php\/2024\/06\/14\/public-assistance-and-the-sheinbaum-triumph\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[34,83,14,78,60,27,84,82,79,29,67,71,72,76,80,73,70,62,81,74,85,65,28,77],"class_list":["post-330","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","tag-2024-mexican-election","tag-aguascalientes-state","tag-amlo","tag-campeche","tag-chiapas","tag-claudia-sheinbaum","tag-el-financiero","tag-guanajuato-state","tag-guerrero","tag-hidalgo-state","tag-jalisco","tag-milenio","tag-morena","tag-nayarit","tag-nuevo-leon","tag-oaxaca","tag-public-assistance","tag-puebla","tag-queretaro-state","tag-san-luis-potosi","tag-saul-hernandez-reporter","tag-veracruz","tag-xochitl-galvez","tag-yucatan-state"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/330","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=330"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/330\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":652,"href":"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/330\/revisions\/652"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=330"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=330"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mexiconewsreport.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=330"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}